Kadarius Toney Production 2021
The New York Giants surprised many when they selected Kadarius Toney with the 20th overall pick in the 2021 NFL Draft. Despite the monstrous athleticism you’d see in the first round, the Florida wide receiver was a late breakthrough in terms of production. In his first three years at school, his contributions were minimal, amassing just 606 receiving yards in his junior season. He posted an impressive 70-984-10 as the primary beneficiary of quarterback Kyle Trask’s breakout in his senior season, significantly raising his profile in the NFL.
Toney’s rookie season didn’t look impressive on paper, but the Giants were so bad offensively that his 420 receiving yards were the second-most on the team. The team’s receiving chief, Kenny Golladay, played five more games than Toney and only edged him by 101 yards.
Part of Toney’s rookie season was spent on the sidelines, playing just nine games as he dealt with quadriceps and oblique injuries. However, the highlight part of his season came in Weeks 4 and 5 in games against New Orleans and Dallas. He posted a staggering 16-276 line in those two weeks and looked terrific.
With Golladay disappointing, Sterling Shepard playing just seven games and Darius Slayton missing, Toney looked like the Giants’ best receiver in 2021.
It’s a new regime for the Giants in 2022, out Dave Gettleman and Joe Judge, and in Joe Schoen and Brian Daboll from Buffalo. But, as exciting as it may be for the future of the Giants, the disappointing Daniel Jones is still the team’s starting quarterback.
Toney has been at the center of recent trade rumors, but nothing came of it in the NFL Draft. These rumors are particularly notable since the departure of the regime that drafted Toney. Does the new hierarchy value Toney as much as his predecessors? Only time will tell.
Joining Toney in the wide receiver room is the same crew from last year (Golladay, Shepard, Slayton) and the addition of 2022 second-round pick Wan’Dale Robinson. Barring a big rebound from Golladay, Toney is still the most talented receiver on the roster.
General prediction for 2022 and rest of the career
The Giants will be bad again, and Toney is far from a safe bet to be the first target in 2022. He may have the most talent of receivers, but the change in diet and the frequent injuries of his rookie season are undeniable concerns.
Toney’s stock just for 2022 shouldn’t be very high. The Giants aren’t a team that will produce solid numbers in the passing game, and they’re an uninspiring but crowded group of receivers out there. Toney could lead the team in receiving with well under 1,000 yards. It is a flexible option with the advantage of providing a boom week at best.
In the long run, Toney is an intriguing piece for the Giants and fantasy football. When it was at its best, the film was jaw-dropping. His elusiveness, lateral agility and juke-like range of motion jump off the boards, showing a potential ceiling that would excite any football fan. An inevitable future upgrade at Giants quarterback will increase Toney’s stock.
In terms of value, Toney really comes down to price. It hasn’t moved the needle in either direction enough that fantasy managers can’t pivot or acquire at a price they like. If you like buying little tooled young players who haven’t set it up yet, Toney might be your man. On the contrary, if you like selling outraged young players because they haven’t produced as rookies, you can flip Toney and roll the dice on a 2022 rookie.
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